8–4
UFC record
82%
Finish rate
50%
Moirai accuracy
50%
Moirai accuracy
Across 2 of Álvarez's fights that Moirai has graded, the model predicted the winner correctly 1 time. Over the model's full visible UFC history Álvarez is 8–4.
Career profile UFC history
11
UFC fights
82%
Finish rate
45%
KO/TKO rate
27%
Submission rate
67%
Last-3 win rate
4.5
Strikes landed / min
8.3
Strikes absorbed / min
0.01
Takedowns / min
1
Loss streak
Fight history 12 UFC bouts · 2 graded by Moirai
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LDecision (U) · R3 · UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08-15✗ missed
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LSUB · R2 · UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05-09✓ predicted
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WDecision (U) · R3 · 2025-10-11
-
WKO/TKO · R1 · 2024-12-14
-
Wvs Elves BrenerKO/TKO · R3 · 2024-08-03
-
Wvs Marc DiakieseSUB · R2 · 2023-07-22
-
LKO/TKO · R2 · 2022-02-26
-
WKO/TKO · R1 · 2021-11-13
-
Wvs Alexander YakovlevSUB · R1 · 2020-10-24
-
Wvs Joe DuffySUB · R1 · 2020-07-18
-
Wvs Danilo BelluardoKO/TKO · R2 · 2019-06-01
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Lvs Damir IsmagulovDecision (U) · R3 · 2019-02-23