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⟁ Past Events — Predictions vs. Actual Results
71 of 99
confident picks landed — when the model gives a fighter 70%+ it has been right 72% of the time
15–26
betting record with the same amount on every recommended bet (-13.7 units — early days, small sample)
Bankroll curve
+$361
2026-06-15
peak $460 · trough $-968
2026-10-10
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos 6/10 · 60%
2026-09-26
Model Prediction
Raoni Barcelos
39%
KO 11%·
Sub 4%·
Dec 24%
Raul Rosas Jr.
✓ won
61%
KO 9%·
Sub 27%·
Dec 25%
Model Prediction
Norma Dumont
42%
KO 0%·
Sub 15%·
Dec 27%
Ailin Perez
✓ won
58%
KO 10%·
Sub 2%·
Dec 46%
Model Prediction
no model pick — one fighter had no fight-record data (e.g. a promotional debut)
Model Prediction
Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu
✓ won
48%
KO 16%·
Sub 12%·
Dec 20%
Mehemmedeli Osmanli
52%
KO 17%·
Sub 11%·
Dec 24%
Actual Fight Stats
| Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu | Mehemmedeli Osmanli | |
|---|---|---|
| Sig. strikes (landed/att) | 6/12 | 6/13 |
| Total strikes landed | 18 | 46 |
| Knockdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns (landed/att) | 1/2 | 0/0 |
| Submission attempts | 0 | 0 |
| Control time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
Model Prediction
no model pick — one fighter had no fight-record data (e.g. a promotional debut)
Model Prediction
Brady Hiestand
✓ won
40%
KO 9%·
Sub 15%·
Dec 17%
Rinya Nakamura
60%
KO 13%·
Sub 4%·
Dec 42%
Model Prediction
Robert Bryczek
49%
KO 26%·
Sub 5%·
Dec 19%
Rodolfo Vieira
✓ won
51%
KO 5%·
Sub 21%·
Dec 25%
Model Prediction
Christian Edwards
✓ won
37%
KO 9%·
Sub 5%·
Dec 23%
Rodolfo Bellato
63%
KO 34%·
Sub 5%·
Dec 25%
Model Prediction
Elves Brener
✓ won
83%
KO 46%·
Sub 6%·
Dec 31%
Josiah Harrell
17%
KO 0%·
Sub 3%·
Dec 14%
Model Prediction
Ricky Simon
32%
KO 8%·
Sub 2%·
Dec 22%
Montel Jackson
✓ won
68%
KO 10%·
Sub 8%·
Dec 50%
Model Prediction
Alatengheili
✓ won
31%
KO 6%·
Sub 4%·
Dec 21%
John Castaneda
69%
KO 21%·
Sub 9%·
Dec 39%
Model Prediction
Vanessa Demopoulos
30%
KO 0%·
Sub 12%·
Dec 18%
Yazmin Jauregui
✓ won
70%
KO 23%·
Sub 0%·
Dec 47%