Updated 2026-11-05 20:19 AEST
0
Bouts
0
Events
Track record
Every pick, graded
What the model said before each fight, what happened, and the locked bets it would have placed. Losses stay on the page.
221 / 330
Correct Picks
67.0% accuracy · 32 events
12 / 22
Parlay Legs
12 parlays · −$576
+$852
Running P&L · locked picks
$1000 / event · Conservative · Kelly-weighted · closing: +$609
77 of 111 confident picks landed — when the model gives a fighter 70%+ it has been right 69% of the time
20–30 betting record with the same amount on every recommended bet (-2.3 units — early days, small sample)
Bankroll curve $1000 per event · Conservative tier · locked picks +$852
UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje (2026-06-15) — -26 this event · -26 total · 2W-2L UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi 2 (2026-06-20) — +109 this event · +84 total · 1W-1L UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres (2026-06-27) — -216 this event · -132 total · 1W-5L UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 (2026-07-11) — -200 this event · -332 total · 0W-2L UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman (2026-07-18) — +38 this event · -294 total · 3W-1L UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov (2026-07-25) — -102 this event · -396 total · 1W-3L UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez (2026-08-01) — -56 this event · -452 total · 2W-2L UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld (2026-08-08) — -75 this event · -527 total · 0W-2L UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry (2026-08-15) — -80 this event · -607 total · 0W-1L UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues (2026-08-22) — -111 this event · -718 total · 0W-2L UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song (2026-08-29) — -4 this event · -723 total · 1W-1L UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse (2026-09-05) — -52 this event · -775 total · 1W-1L Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado (2026-09-12) — -95 this event · -870 total · 0W-2L UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 (2026-09-19) — +11 this event · -859 total · 2W-1L UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan (2026-10-10) — +1220 this event · +361 total · 1W-0L UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott (2026-10-17) — -80 this event · +281 total · 0W-1L UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev (2026-10-24) — +303 this event · +584 total · 2W-2L UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan (2026-10-31) — +268 this event · +852 total · 3W-1L
2026-06-15 peak $990 · trough $-1008 2026-10-31

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa ⚙ no model

2026-05-16
The prediction model was undergoing maintenance for this card — results are shown below, but no model picks, probabilities or value bets were generated. This event is excluded from the tracking stats above.
Ketlen Vieira
Brazil 15-5-0
Winner
Ketlen Vieira
Decision (U) · R3
Model Prediction
model offline — under maintenance
Cody Brundage
United States 11-9-1
Winner
Cody Brundage
KO/TKO · R2
Andre Petroski
Model Prediction
model offline — under maintenance
Alice Ardelean
Winner
Alice Ardelean
SUB · R2
Polyana Viana
Brazil 13-8-0
Model Prediction
model offline — under maintenance
Arnold Allen
England 20-4-0
Winner
Arnold Allen
Decision (U) · R5
Melquizael Costa
Model Prediction
model offline — under maintenance
Daniel Barez
Spain 17-7-0
Winner
Luis Gurule
Decision (U) · R3
Luis Gurule
United States 10-3-0
Model Prediction
model offline — under maintenance
Tuco Tokkos
England 11-5-0
Winner
Ivan Erslan
Decision (U) · R3
Ivan Erslan
Croatia 14-6-0
Model Prediction
model offline — under maintenance
TG
United States 11-0-0
Winner
Tommy Gantt
KO/TKO · R2
AM
Ukraine 7-0-0
Model Prediction
model offline — under maintenance
Modestas Bukauskas
Winner
Modestas Bukauskas
Decision (S) · R3
Model Prediction
model offline — under maintenance
Malcolm Wellmaker
Winner
Juan Diaz
SUB · R2
Juan Diaz
Peru 15-1-1
Model Prediction
model offline — under maintenance
Khaos Williams
Winner
Khaos Williams
KO/TKO · R1
Model Prediction
model offline — under maintenance
Dooho Choi
South Korea 16-4-1
Winner
Dooho Choi
KO/TKO · R2
Daniel Santos
Brazil 14-2-0
Model Prediction
model offline — under maintenance
BS
Winner
Bernardo Sopaj
SUB · R2
TC
United States 10-4-0
Model Prediction
model offline — under maintenance
Nicolle Caliari
Winner
Nicolle Caliari
SUB · R3
Shauna Bannon
Model Prediction
model offline — under maintenance